现货黄金/美元


在过去几年里,黄金交易在外汇市场上剧增,成为传统货币对交易的替代选择。产生此现象的原因有几个,因为许多投资者期望此贵金属成为对抗通胀的缓冲,且因为黄金保值,使其被称为“避险”工具。虽然传统上,黄金倾向于与美元走势相反,在过去几年中,由于地缘政治不确定性的增加,此相关性不再始终如是。虽然许多外汇经纪商现提供黄金与几种货币(包括瑞士法郎、澳元和欧元)交易选项,其最常见的仍是与美元交易,表示为现货黄金/美元。尽管黄金交易与任何其他货币对交易看似相差不大,但事实并非如此。在进行黄金交易时,必须记住一些策略,因为快速扫视任何现货黄金/美元交易图表时就会发现,波动大幅减少。黄金走势或多或少较直接,相比其他传统货币,在时间表内的大幅波动更少。要想高效交易黄金/美元,投资者务必知道影响此配对的众多因素,并进行深入了解,以使其策略行之有效。

黄金指南

xau-usd黄金因其美丽的外观和延展性而被人类世代珍藏和珍视。自 2,500 年前的早期中东社会以来,黄金一直是人类商业活动的流通工具,这意味着其是当今仍在使用且获认可的最古老货币形式。黄金以在自然灾害、战争甚至是帝国衰落中依然能够保值而出名,因此,其被称为“避险”资产。尽管黄金能很好保值,但近年来,黄金对于交易者的利益已经历几度兴衰。1980 年至 2000 年间,由于股市高速发展,加上经济强劲增长,人们对黄金交易兴趣缺缺。在长达 20 年期间,黄金价格保持在每盎司 $300 和 $500 之间。但是,在二十一世纪初,人们对黄金交易的兴趣复增,在 2008 年金融大危机爆发之后,黄金价格在 2011 年暴增到超过每盎司 $1,900 的历史高点。

将黄金交易作为外汇交易是让投资者多样化其投资组合,同时从黄金固有特性中获利的绝佳方式,投资者无需实际购买实物资产。黄金是灵活简单的外汇交易工具,因为其可随时随地交易,且不存在与存储实物黄金相关的任何费用或问题。务必记住,黄金价值与市场经济状况紧密关联,如果发生经济衰退或金融危机,黄金投资人气飙升,因此导致黄金价格在经济不景气时期上涨。黄金交易需要大笔入金,因为其通常为长期投资,价差相当大。这将降低该金融工具交易的一般可得性。

美国经济和美元

在国际金融界,美元具有独特作用。它是最常被接受用于世界储备的货币,也是不同国家之间用于货币交易结算的首选货币。全球大多数中央银行所持有的绝大多数外币储备金均为美元,其如此强势,以致一些较小国家选择以美元替代本国货币。还有一些其他小国将本国货币与美元价值挂钩。虽然现货黄金可与其他货币交易,但传统上使用美元来设定黄金价格以及众多其他热门商品的价格,OPEC 国家始终采用美元进行全球石油交易。在这些众多因素作用下,就不难理解为何美元成为全球最频繁交易、最重要的货币了。由于相对任何其他全球货币而言,美元可交易的货币更多,因此对于想投资外汇市场的任何交易者,在参与交易之前最好了解美国经济和影响美国经济的因素。

影响现货黄金/美元对的因素

黄金价值始终受全球经济状况影响,根据就业数据、利率、通胀以及 GDP 增长率衡量。主要中央银行的货币政策也会影响外汇市场上的黄金价值,在投资此工具时,供需动态也是需要考虑的关键因素。黄金是一种珍贵的棘手资产。与欧元或美元类似的是,其全球通用、便携且耐用;但是,其不像传统货币那样可为基础设施、公司和员工经济提供潜在支持。这让黄金更像玉米或石油等商品,但与其他商品不同的是,黄金价值不随供需动态频繁波动,交易者行为和情绪推动此贵金属的一些主要趋势。传统上,确定黄金价格的最佳方式之一是考虑实际利率水平,即利率减去通胀。如果实际利率低,债券或现金等投资的回报就非常低,这激励交易者寻找保护其财富的其他方式。反过来,如果实际利率上涨,则可从债券和现金投资中获得较高回报,因此,黄金的吸引力就会下降。

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